With its stock down 22% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Emerson Electric (NYSE:EMR). Given that stock prices are usually driven by a company’s fundamentals over the long term, which in this case look pretty weak, we decided to study the company’s key financial indicators. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Emerson Electric’s ROE today.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
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ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Emerson Electric is:
7.7% = US$2.0b ÷ US$26b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
The ‘return’ is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder’s investments, the company generates a profit of $0.08.
See our latest analysis for Emerson Electric
So far, we’ve learned that ROE is a measure of a company’s profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or “retains” for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.
At first glance, Emerson Electric’s ROE doesn’t look very promising. A quick further study shows that the company’s ROE doesn’t compare favorably to the industry average of 11% either. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 2.5% seen by Emerson Electric over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company’s earnings prospects. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.
However, when we compared Emerson Electric’s growth with the industry we found that while the company’s earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 16% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
NYSE:EMR Past Earnings Growth April 9th 2025
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for EMR? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.
Emerson Electric has a high three-year median payout ratio of 59% (that is, it is retaining 41% of its profits). This suggests that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This goes some way in explaining why its earnings have been shrinking. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest – A vicious cycle that doesn’t benefit the company in the long-run.
Additionally, Emerson Electric has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company’s management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 31% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected drop in the payout ratio explains the expected increase in the company’s ROE to 18%, over the same period.
On the whole, Emerson Electric’s performance is quite a big let-down. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company’s future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
